MIN 112-110 SAS, December 29, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat SAS 112-110, and MIN's shots were worth 128.4 points to SAS's 115.9.

MIN 112-110 SAS, December 29, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	100	97	113.8	15/19	14.5	112	128.4
SAS	87	87	93.3	23/28	22.6	110	115.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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