OKC 130-106 MEM, December 29, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OKC beat MEM 130-106, and OKC's shots were worth 125.0 points to MEM's 119.9.

OKC 130-106 MEM, December 29, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
OKC103118114.912/1210.1130125.0
MEM9788102.818/2117.1106119.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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