TOR 107-136 ATL, December 29, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat TOR 136-107, and ATL's shots were worth 135.6 points to TOR's 120.6.

TOR 107-136 ATL, December 29, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	85	83	101.0	24/27	19.6	107	120.6
ATL	95	110	108.1	26/35	27.5	136	135.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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