BOS 114-123 IND, December 29, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat BOS 123-114, but BOS's shots were worth 110.6 points to IND's 109.5.

BOS 114-123 IND, December 29, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	93	102	95.8	12/19	14.7	114	110.6
IND	87	101	88.2	22/27	21.3	123	109.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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