LAL 132-122 SAC, December 28, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat SAC 132-122, but SAC's shots were worth 114.6 points to LAL's 105.9.

LAL 132-122 SAC, December 28, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAL	77	106	79.5	26/33	26.4	132	105.9
SAC	98	111	102.6	11/15	12.0	122	114.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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