DEN 134-121 DET, December 28, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat DET 134-121, and DEN's shots were worth 123.5 points to DET's 121.7.

DEN 134-121 DET, December 28, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	82	105	95.2	29/36	28.3	134	123.5
DET	95	104	104.0	17/23	17.7	121	121.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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