GSW 109-105 PHX, December 28, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat PHX 109-105, and GSW's shots were worth 120.8 points to PHX's 112.0.

GSW 109-105 PHX, December 28, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	98	94	107.6	15/19	13.2	109	120.8
PHX	92	87	94.7	18/22	17.3	105	112.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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