LAC 102-92 GSW, December 27, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. LAC beat GSW 102-92, but GSW's shots were worth 119.2 points to LAC's 94.4.

LAC 102-92 GSW, December 27, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LAC	75	90	82.4	12/15	11.9	102	94.4
GSW	95	77	105.0	15/20	14.2	92	119.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.