PHX 89-98 DAL, December 27, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DAL beat PHX 98-89, and DAL's shots were worth 96.3 points to PHX's 95.1.

PHX 89-98 DAL, December 27, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
PHX	83	77	81.0	12/18	14.1	89	95.1
DAL	80	82	82.8	16/17	13.6	98	96.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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