No. CLE beat DEN 149-135, but DEN's shots were worth 126.3 points to CLE's 122.7.
| Team | FGA | FG points | FG expected | FT | FT expected | Points | Shots' worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 94 | 121 | 112.3 | 14/18 | 14.0 | 135 | 126.3 |
| CLE | 96 | 131 | 105.4 | 18/22 | 17.2 | 149 | 122.7 |
Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.
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