NOP 124-132 MEM, December 27, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MEM beat NOP 132-124, but NOP's shots were worth 127.0 points to MEM's 125.0.

NOP 124-132 MEM, December 27, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	96	97	103.3	27/29	23.7	124	127.0
MEM	89	101	97.5	31/35	27.5	132	125.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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