HOU 112-113 MIN, December 27, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MIN beat HOU 113-112, but HOU's shots were worth 106.5 points to MIN's 99.5.

HOU 112-113 MIN, December 27, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	92	100	92.5	12/19	14.0	112	106.5
MIN	83	105	87.4	8/16	12.1	113	99.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.