POR 122-120 UTA, December 26, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. POR beat UTA 122-120, but UTA's shots were worth 116.0 points to POR's 113.7.

POR 122-120 UTA, December 26, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	89	105	96.2	17/22	17.4	122	113.7
UTA	86	103	97.3	17/25	18.8	120	116.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.