NOP 111-128 HOU, December 26, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat NOP 128-111, and HOU's shots were worth 126.6 points to NOP's 125.1.

NOP 111-128 HOU, December 26, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	99	98	110.7	13/18	14.5	111	125.1
HOU	97	110	108.9	18/23	17.6	128	126.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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