ORL 88-89 MIA, December 26, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MIA beat ORL 89-88, but ORL's shots were worth 95.6 points to MIA's 87.4.

ORL 88-89 MIA, December 26, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	77	73	81.3	15/18	14.3	88	95.6
MIA	76	77	76.4	12/14	11.0	89	87.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.