GSW 113-115 LAL, December 25, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. LAL beat GSW 115-113, but GSW's shots were worth 107.3 points to LAL's 104.3.

GSW 113-115 LAL, December 25, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	89	100	94.8	13/17	12.4	113	107.3
LAL	91	97	89.5	18/18	14.8	115	104.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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