BOS 114-118 PHI, December 25, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. PHI beat BOS 118-114, but BOS's shots were worth 110.3 points to PHI's 107.3.

BOS 114-118 PHI, December 25, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BOS	95	106	99.9	8/13	10.3	114	110.3
PHI	88	99	91.4	19/19	15.9	118	107.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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