DAL 99-105 MIN, December 25, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIN beat DAL 105-99, and MIN's shots were worth 102.7 points to DAL's 99.7.

DAL 99-105 MIN, December 25, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	87	88	90.4	11/11	9.3	99	99.7
MIN	86	94	92.5	11/13	10.3	105	102.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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