GSW 105-111 IND, December 23, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat GSW 111-105, but GSW's shots were worth 113.7 points to IND's 100.5.

GSW 105-111 IND, December 23, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	90	90	97.9	15/21	15.7	105	113.7
IND	92	101	91.7	10/11	8.8	111	100.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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