DEN 117-90 PHX, December 23, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. DEN beat PHX 117-90, and DEN's shots were worth 101.0 points to PHX's 93.1.

DEN 117-90 PHX, December 23, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DEN	90	108	92.4	9/11	8.7	117	101.0
PHX	83	79	81.9	11/15	11.1	90	93.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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