CHI 91-112 MIL, December 23, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat CHI 112-91, but CHI's shots were worth 116.4 points to MIL's 107.3.

CHI 91-112 MIL, December 23, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHI	90	82	106.9	9/12	9.5	91	116.4
MIL	87	98	94.0	14/17	13.3	112	107.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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