MIA 110-95 BKN, December 23, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MIA beat BKN 110-95, but BKN's shots were worth 97.0 points to MIA's 96.6.

MIA 110-95 BKN, December 23, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	73	89	77.5	21/24	19.1	110	96.6
BKN	84	79	82.1	16/20	14.9	95	97.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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