ATL 117-104 MIN, December 23, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. ATL beat MIN 117-104, but MIN's shots were worth 117.9 points to ATL's 104.1.

ATL 117-104 MIN, December 23, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	73	96	82.6	21/26	21.5	117	104.1
MIN	91	92	107.4	12/13	10.4	104	117.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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