ORL 108-104 BOS, December 23, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. ORL beat BOS 108-104, but BOS's shots were worth 110.0 points to ORL's 103.9.

ORL 108-104 BOS, December 23, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	83	87	87.0	21/21	16.9	108	103.9
BOS	84	82	88.4	22/27	21.6	104	110.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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