NOP 129-132 DEN, December 22, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. DEN beat NOP 132-129, but NOP's shots were worth 144.3 points to DEN's 141.2.

NOP 129-132 DEN, December 22, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	108	112	127.0	17/23	17.3	129	144.3
DEN	97	108	115.6	24/32	25.6	132	141.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.