SAC 95-122 IND, December 22, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. IND beat SAC 122-95, but SAC's shots were worth 108.8 points to IND's 91.7.

SAC 95-122 IND, December 22, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAC	96	82	95.4	13/17	13.5	95	108.8
IND	86	117	85.6	5/8	6.0	122	91.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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