TOR 110-114 HOU, December 22, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat TOR 114-110, and HOU's shots were worth 123.6 points to TOR's 119.7.

TOR 110-114 HOU, December 22, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	92	101	109.5	9/13	10.2	110	119.7
HOU	89	87	98.0	27/33	25.7	114	123.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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