NOP 93-104 NYK, December 21, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. NYK beat NOP 104-93, but NOP's shots were worth 107.9 points to NYK's 103.6.

NOP 93-104 NYK, December 21, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
NOP	83	80	93.6	13/19	14.4	93	107.9
NYK	87	91	91.5	13/15	12.1	104	103.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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