MIN 103-113 GSW, December 21, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. GSW beat MIN 113-103, but MIN's shots were worth 113.4 points to GSW's 110.5.

MIN 103-113 GSW, December 21, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIN	86	86	94.1	17/25	19.3	103	113.4
GSW	87	96	92.8	17/23	17.7	113	110.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.