BKN 94-105 UTA, December 21, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. UTA beat BKN 105-94, but BKN's shots were worth 115.2 points to UTA's 108.9.

BKN 94-105 UTA, December 21, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BKN	94	83	105.8	11/12	9.5	94	115.2
UTA	86	96	95.6	9/17	13.3	105	108.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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