ORL 121-114 MIA, December 21, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ORL beat MIA 121-114, and ORL's shots were worth 111.6 points to MIA's 109.2.

ORL 121-114 MIA, December 21, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ORL	87	97	90.1	24/27	21.6	121	111.6
MIA	75	81	75.7	33/42	33.4	114	109.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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