CLE 124-101 MIL, December 20, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CLE beat MIL 124-101, and CLE's shots were worth 113.9 points to MIL's 109.6.

CLE 124-101 MIL, December 20, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CLE	91	112	103.3	12/14	10.6	124	113.9
MIL	85	90	96.8	11/18	12.8	101	109.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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