POR 126-124 DEN, December 19, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. POR beat DEN 126-124, and POR's shots were worth 123.5 points to DEN's 113.7.

POR 126-124 DEN, December 19, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	97	106	104.5	20/24	18.9	126	123.5
DEN	87	109	97.3	15/21	16.4	124	113.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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