SAS 133-126 ATL, December 19, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAS beat ATL 133-126, and SAS's shots were worth 129.7 points to ATL's 121.5.

SAS 133-126 ATL, December 19, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	101	117	111.4	16/23	18.2	133	129.7
ATL	97	108	104.2	18/21	17.3	126	121.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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