DAL 95-118 LAC, December 19, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. LAC beat DAL 118-95, but DAL's shots were worth 113.7 points to LAC's 106.2.

DAL 95-118 LAC, December 19, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DAL	86	75	92.4	20/28	21.3	95	113.7
LAC	85	102	92.2	16/17	14.0	118	106.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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