MEM 144-93 GSW, December 19, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MEM beat GSW 144-93, but GSW's shots were worth 116.5 points to MEM's 115.0.

MEM 144-93 GSW, December 19, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MEM	98	133	103.8	11/15	11.2	144	115.0
GSW	90	76	99.1	17/24	17.4	93	116.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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