HOU 133-113 NOP, December 19, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. HOU beat NOP 133-113, but NOP's shots were worth 113.4 points to HOU's 112.8.

HOU 133-113 NOP, December 19, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HOU	87	117	98.2	16/19	14.7	133	112.8
NOP	92	95	94.4	18/25	18.9	113	113.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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