DET 119-126 UTA, December 19, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. UTA beat DET 126-119, but DET's shots were worth 131.1 points to UTA's 114.6.

DET 119-126 UTA, December 19, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
DET	105	105	117.3	14/18	13.8	119	131.1
UTA	83	98	88.5	28/31	26.1	126	114.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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