TOR 108-113 NYK, December 9, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. NYK beat TOR 113-108, but TOR's shots were worth 119.8 points to NYK's 112.2.

TOR 108-113 NYK, December 9, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
TOR	96	99	111.6	9/11	8.2	108	119.8
NYK	82	101	96.8	12/19	15.4	113	112.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All NBA games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.