LAL 107-98 POR, December 8, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LAL beat POR 107-98, and LAL's shots were worth 108.3 points to POR's 101.0.

LAL 107-98 POR, December 8, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LAL838991.818/2116.6107108.3
POR847984.519/2116.498101.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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