LAC 106-117 HOU, December 8, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HOU beat LAC 117-106, and HOU's shots were worth 106.7 points to LAC's 104.3.

LAC 106-117 HOU, December 8, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LAC929391.913/1612.3106104.3
HOU829587.122/2619.6117106.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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