SAS 121-116 NOP, December 8, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. SAS beat NOP 121-116, and SAS's shots were worth 134.6 points to NOP's 125.1.

SAS 121-116 NOP, December 8, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
SAS	93	96	111.0	25/31	23.6	121	134.6
NOP	99	99	109.3	17/21	15.8	116	125.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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