ATL 111-141 DEN, December 8, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. DEN beat ATL 141-111, but ATL's shots were worth 136.6 points to DEN's 130.5.

ATL 111-141 DEN, December 8, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	101	91	116.5	20/27	20.1	111	136.6
DEN	89	124	111.6	17/24	18.9	141	130.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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