BKN 113-118 MIL, December 8, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. MIL beat BKN 118-113, but BKN's shots were worth 101.6 points to MIL's 98.0.

BKN 113-118 MIL, December 8, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BKN	81	98	89.1	15/16	12.4	113	101.6
MIL	68	93	72.7	25/32	25.3	118	98.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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