MIA 121-111 PHX, December 7, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. MIA beat PHX 121-111, and MIA's shots were worth 118.0 points to PHX's 110.6.

MIA 121-111 PHX, December 7, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
MIA	86	103	100.2	18/23	17.8	121	118.0
PHX	82	88	90.1	23/25	20.6	111	110.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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