POR 99-141 UTA, December 6, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. UTA beat POR 141-99, and UTA's shots were worth 131.2 points to POR's 120.2.

POR 99-141 UTA, December 6, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
POR	95	88	107.3	11/17	12.9	99	120.2
UTA	96	120	113.8	21/23	17.4	141	131.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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