SAS 113-140 SAC, December 6, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. SAC beat SAS 140-113, but SAS's shots were worth 125.4 points to SAC's 119.9.

SAS 113-140 SAC, December 6, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
SAS9192101.921/3023.5113125.4
SAC90118100.622/2419.3140119.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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