BOS 111-105 MIL, December 6, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BOS beat MIL 111-105, and BOS's shots were worth 108.4 points to MIL's 107.1.

BOS 111-105 MIL, December 6, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BOS879795.314/1613.0111108.4
MIL949194.114/1713.1105107.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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