ATL 134-132 LAL, December 6, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ATL beat LAL 134-132, and ATL's shots were worth 127.8 points to LAL's 120.4.

ATL 134-132 LAL, December 6, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ATL	100	117	109.7	17/22	18.1	134	127.8
LAL	99	118	107.8	14/16	12.6	132	120.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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