GSW 99-93 HOU, December 5, 2024

Did the better shots win?

Yes. GSW beat HOU 99-93, and GSW's shots were worth 107.2 points to HOU's 105.5.

GSW 99-93 HOU, December 5, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
GSW	86	81	86.8	18/27	20.4	99	107.2
HOU	93	80	92.4	13/17	13.0	93	105.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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